After a recent TD report expecting Canadian real estate to cool in 2010-2011, the CMHC has issued a press release and its forecast for the housing market in 2010 and 2011 is very similar to the TD’s outlook. With housing starts expected to be up over the next two years and the changes to rules for government backed mortgage insurance that took effect on April 19, 2010, the CMHC forecast that growth in real estate should be more stable and inline with the historic long term growth rates after the market had strong gains in 2009, rebounding the lows early in the year.
“Canadian housing markets have recovered from the low levels posted in early 2009,” said Bob Dugan, Chief Economist for CMHC. “Moving forward, housing starts will moderate as activity becomes more in-line with long term demographic fundamentals. New measures for government-backed mortgage insurance introduced by the Government of Canada that took effect on April 19, 2010 will continue to support the long-term stability of Canada’s housing market.”
Canadian Housing Starts Forecast
(2009 149,081 units)
2010 166,900 to 199,600 units
2011 148,600 to 208,800 units
The CMHC also projects that an increase in real estate listing will help balance the supply demand equation, after being driven by pent up demand caused by the debt crisis and early 2009 lows.
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